Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
EuroMillions Basketball League
Belgium · 28
LiegeHOME · -
78 : 822014.04.03 · 종료
Spirou CharleroiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME66.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+66.7%
VALUE EDGE+66.7%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEA
LiegeAnalysis MetricsSpirou Charleroi
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+6.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.00
165.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.67
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation14.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Liege
W · 86-75W · 56-95W · 88-63L · 80-70W · 51-84
Spirou Charleroi
L · 74-75W · 96-78L · 91-76W · 104-82L · 98-91
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.27 | Liege | 83 : 92 | Spirou Charleroi |
| 2023.09.28 | Spirou Charleroi | 79 : 71 | Liege |
| 2022.12.18 | Liege | 69 : 74 | Spirou Charleroi |
| 2022.10.09 | Spirou Charleroi | 83 : 62 | Liege |
| 2022.01.15 | Liege | 65 : 91 | Spirou Charleroi |
| 2021.11.13 | Spirou Charleroi | 83 : 72 | Liege |
| 2015.12.23 | Liege | 83 : 82 | Spirou Charleroi |
| 2015.10.08 | Spirou Charleroi | 87 : 66 | Liege |
| 2015.02.21 | Liege | 82 : 71 | Spirou Charleroi |
| 2014.11.29 | Spirou Charleroi | 74 : 79 | Liege |