Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
EuroMillions Basketball League
Belgium · 23
Verviers-PepinsterHOME · -
65 : 742014.03.09 · 종료
Leuven BearsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.7%
VALUE EDGE+53.7%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADEA
Verviers-PepinsterAnalysis MetricsLeuven Bears
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-10.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.67
167.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.17
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation3.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Verviers-Pepinster
L · 78-69L · 76-96L · 85-60W · 74-67L · 84-60
Leuven Bears
L · 64-76W · 79-74L · 70-64L · 86-64W · 96-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.16 | Verviers-Pepinster | 92 : 74 | Leuven Bears |
| 2016.03.27 | Leuven Bears | 95 : 79 | Verviers-Pepinster |
| 2016.02.28 | Verviers-Pepinster | 93 : 87 | Leuven Bears |
| 2015.11.22 | Leuven Bears | 87 : 83 | Verviers-Pepinster |
| 2015.04.26 | Verviers-Pepinster | 80 : 77 | Leuven Bears |
| 2015.03.22 | Leuven Bears | 73 : 80 | Verviers-Pepinster |
| 2014.12.28 | Verviers-Pepinster | 85 : 74 | Leuven Bears |
| 2014.10.12 | Leuven Bears | 85 : 89 | Verviers-Pepinster |
| 2014.04.27 | Leuven Bears | 75 : 55 | Verviers-Pepinster |
| 2014.03.09 | Verviers-Pepinster | 65 : 74 | Leuven Bears |