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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroMillions Basketball League Belgium · 11
Okapi AalstarHOME · -
83 : 952014.12.07 · 종료
Spirou CharleroiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +58.2%
VALUE EDGE+58.2%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEA
Okapi AalstarAnalysis MetricsSpirou Charleroi
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+1.67 Point MarginHigher is better +7.08
154.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.08
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation7.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
58.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
41.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Okapi Aalstar
L · 82-71L · 97-81W · 88-75W · 104-77W · 93-85
Spirou Charleroi
L · 74-79W · 88-78W · 80-68L · 67-73W · 74-59

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.05.08Okapi Aalstar82 : 88Spirou Charleroi
2016.04.10Spirou Charleroi92 : 82Okapi Aalstar
2016.01.20Spirou Charleroi68 : 71Okapi Aalstar
2015.10.04Okapi Aalstar72 : 75Spirou Charleroi
2015.05.02Okapi Aalstar101 : 74Spirou Charleroi
2015.03.29Spirou Charleroi70 : 56Okapi Aalstar
2015.02.28Spirou Charleroi83 : 70Okapi Aalstar
2014.12.07Okapi Aalstar83 : 95Spirou Charleroi
2014.03.30Spirou Charleroi74 : 75Okapi Aalstar
2014.02.09Okapi Aalstar69 : 81Spirou Charleroi