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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroMillions Basketball League Belgium · 8
Okapi AalstarHOME · -
88 : 752014.11.16 · 종료
Belfius MonsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +62.0%
VALUE EDGE+62.0%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADES
Okapi AalstarAnalysis MetricsBelfius Mons
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+1.67 Point MarginHigher is better -11.58
154.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.75
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation10.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
62.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
38.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Okapi Aalstar
W · 104-77W · 93-85W · 90-101W · 97-92W · 70-82
Belfius Mons
L · 80-74L · 59-72W · 77-87L · 76-84W · 73-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.05.13Belfius Mons87 : 108Okapi Aalstar
2016.01.16Okapi Aalstar72 : 78Belfius Mons
2015.10.18Belfius Mons84 : 78Okapi Aalstar
2015.05.22Belfius Mons83 : 66Okapi Aalstar
2015.05.19Okapi Aalstar96 : 61Belfius Mons
2015.05.17Belfius Mons81 : 73Okapi Aalstar
2015.05.15Okapi Aalstar65 : 69Belfius Mons
2015.03.15Belfius Mons79 : 73Okapi Aalstar
2015.02.08Belfius Mons72 : 68Okapi Aalstar
2014.11.16Okapi Aalstar88 : 75Belfius Mons