Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
EuroMillions Basketball League
Belgium · 21
LiegeHOME · -
76 : 912016.03.11 · 종료
Okapi AalstarAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.2%
VALUE EDGE+53.2%
FAIR ODDS1.88
GRADEA
LiegeAnalysis MetricsOkapi Aalstar
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+6.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.67
165.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.17
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
13.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
12.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.1 / 15
Prediction separation2.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Liege
L · 100-74W · 91-82L · 95-84L · 69-81W · 85-74
Okapi Aalstar
W · 82-89W · 85-70W · 73-80L · 71-89W · 68-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.03.11 | Liege | 76 : 91 | Okapi Aalstar |
| 2015.12.06 | Okapi Aalstar | 97 : 70 | Liege |
| 2015.05.11 | Okapi Aalstar | 88 : 69 | Liege |
| 2015.05.09 | Liege | 96 : 93 | Okapi Aalstar |
| 2014.05.19 | Liege | 80 : 91 | Okapi Aalstar |
| 2014.05.17 | Okapi Aalstar | 83 : 79 | Liege |
| 2014.05.15 | Liege | 65 : 48 | Okapi Aalstar |
| 2014.04.06 | Okapi Aalstar | 87 : 81 | Liege |
| 2014.02.15 | Liege | 73 : 58 | Okapi Aalstar |
| 2013.12.07 | Liege | 68 : 62 | Okapi Aalstar |