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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroMillions Basketball League Belgium · 19
Okapi AalstarHOME · -
85 : 702016.02.21 · 종료
Verviers-PepinsterAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 77.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +79.5%
VALUE EDGE+79.5%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADES
Okapi AalstarAnalysis MetricsVerviers-Pepinster
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+1.67 Point MarginHigher is better -9.75
154.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.58
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
79.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
20.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Okapi Aalstar
W · 73-80L · 71-89W · 68-71L · 72-78L · 93-70
Verviers-Pepinster
L · 83-75W · 98-97L · 92-61L · 84-105L · 87-104

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.02.21Okapi Aalstar85 : 70Verviers-Pepinster
2015.11.15Verviers-Pepinster85 : 92Okapi Aalstar
2014.12.21Verviers-Pepinster88 : 68Okapi Aalstar
2014.10.09Okapi Aalstar97 : 92Verviers-Pepinster
2014.04.13Verviers-Pepinster64 : 81Okapi Aalstar
2014.03.02Okapi Aalstar78 : 69Verviers-Pepinster
2013.12.22Okapi Aalstar83 : 72Verviers-Pepinster
2013.10.10Verviers-Pepinster62 : 69Okapi Aalstar