Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Belgian Cup
Belgium · Belgian Cup - Quarter-finals
Circus BrusselsHOME · -
79 : 792022.12.11 · 종료
LiegeAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.6%
VALUE EDGE+54.6%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
Circus BrusselsAnalysis MetricsLiege
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+4.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.92
156.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.08
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
1.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.2 / 15
Prediction separation3.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Circus Brussels
L · 92-78L · 86-81L · 68-78L · 89-55L · 84-115
Liege
W · 92-78W · 86-81L · 81-89L · 92-76L · 108-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.13 | Circus Brussels | 94 : 86 | Liege |
| 2023.10.05 | Liege | 59 : 85 | Circus Brussels |
| 2023.02.04 | Circus Brussels | 82 : 77 | Liege |
| 2022.12.11 | Circus Brussels | 79 : 79 | Liege |
| 2022.12.10 | Liege | 92 : 78 | Circus Brussels |
| 2022.12.04 | Liege | 86 : 81 | Circus Brussels |
| 2022.05.07 | Circus Brussels | 75 : 80 | Liege |
| 2022.05.05 | Liege | 65 : 72 | Circus Brussels |
| 2022.01.08 | Liege | 71 : 86 | Circus Brussels |
| 2021.10.17 | Circus Brussels | 90 : 98 | Liege |