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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Belgian Cup Belgium
Okapi AalstHOME · -
84 : 822022.10.30 · 종료
Spirou CharleroiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +51.9%
VALUE EDGE+51.9%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEA
Okapi AalstAnalysis MetricsSpirou Charleroi
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+1.42 Point MarginHigher is better +4.00
172.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.67
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
1.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation1.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
51.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
48.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Okapi Aalst
L · 102-82W · 83-74L · 95-67L · 80-82L · 82-73
Spirou Charleroi
W · 102-82W · 92-70W · 55-74W · 83-62L · 61-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.02.15Spirou Charleroi75 : 68Okapi Aalst
2023.10.05Okapi Aalst80 : 87Spirou Charleroi
2022.11.05Spirou Charleroi74 : 93Okapi Aalst
2022.10.30Okapi Aalst84 : 82Spirou Charleroi
2022.10.29Spirou Charleroi102 : 82Okapi Aalst
2021.12.23Spirou Charleroi74 : 70Okapi Aalst
2021.09.30Okapi Aalst55 : 68Spirou Charleroi