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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Belgian Cup Belgium
Spirou CharleroiHOME · -
102 : 822022.10.29 · 종료
Okapi AalstAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME63.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +63.3%
VALUE EDGE+63.3%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADEA
Spirou CharleroiAnalysis MetricsOkapi Aalst
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+4.00 Point MarginHigher is better +1.42
152.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.08
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
5.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation11.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
63.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
36.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Spirou Charleroi
W · 92-70W · 55-74W · 83-62L · 61-76L · 84-75
Okapi Aalst
W · 83-74L · 95-67L · 80-82L · 82-73L · 74-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.02.15Spirou Charleroi75 : 68Okapi Aalst
2023.10.05Okapi Aalst80 : 87Spirou Charleroi
2022.11.05Spirou Charleroi74 : 93Okapi Aalst
2022.10.30Okapi Aalst84 : 82Spirou Charleroi
2022.10.29Spirou Charleroi102 : 82Okapi Aalst
2021.12.23Spirou Charleroi74 : 70Okapi Aalst
2021.09.30Okapi Aalst55 : 68Spirou Charleroi