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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Belgian Cup Belgium · Belgian Cup - Semi-finals
Spirou CharleroiHOME · -
74 : 662024.01.21 · 종료
MechelenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +51.7%
VALUE EDGE+51.7%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEA
Spirou CharleroiAnalysis MetricsMechelen
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+7.08 Point MarginHigher is better -12.33
153.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 173.83
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
1.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation1.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
48.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
51.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Spirou Charleroi
W · 67-88L · 61-74L · 65-64W · 63-71W · 83-81
Mechelen
L · 67-88L · 82-80W · 65-64L · 87-92L · 91-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.01.21Spirou Charleroi74 : 66Mechelen
2024.01.20Mechelen67 : 88Spirou Charleroi
2024.01.07Mechelen65 : 64Spirou Charleroi
2023.09.23Spirou Charleroi90 : 84Mechelen
2023.02.19Mechelen82 : 71Spirou Charleroi
2022.12.11Spirou Charleroi90 : 74Mechelen
2022.12.10Mechelen87 : 75Spirou Charleroi
2022.11.19Spirou Charleroi76 : 88Mechelen
2021.12.18Spirou Charleroi79 : 88Mechelen
2021.09.25Mechelen82 : 68Spirou Charleroi