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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Belgian Cup Belgium · Belgian Cup - Semi-finals
MechelenHOME · -
67 : 882024.01.20 · 종료
Spirou CharleroiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 68.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +67.5%
VALUE EDGE+67.5%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADEA
MechelenAnalysis MetricsSpirou Charleroi
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-12.33 Point MarginHigher is better +7.08
173.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.08
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
67.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
32.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mechelen
L · 82-80W · 65-64L · 87-92L · 91-80W · 72-69
Spirou Charleroi
L · 61-74L · 65-64W · 63-71W · 83-81L · 76-55

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.01.21Spirou Charleroi74 : 66Mechelen
2024.01.20Mechelen67 : 88Spirou Charleroi
2024.01.07Mechelen65 : 64Spirou Charleroi
2023.09.23Spirou Charleroi90 : 84Mechelen
2023.02.19Mechelen82 : 71Spirou Charleroi
2022.12.11Spirou Charleroi90 : 74Mechelen
2022.12.10Mechelen87 : 75Spirou Charleroi
2022.11.19Spirou Charleroi76 : 88Mechelen
2021.12.18Spirou Charleroi79 : 88Mechelen
2021.09.25Mechelen82 : 68Spirou Charleroi