Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Belgian Cup
Belgium · Belgian Cup - Quarter-finals
Spirou CharleroiHOME · -
47 : 432023.12.11 · 종료
Circus BrusselsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME52.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+52.3%
VALUE EDGE+52.3%
FAIR ODDS1.91
GRADEA
Spirou CharleroiAnalysis MetricsCircus Brussels
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+7.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.25
153.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.08
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
1.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.3 / 15
Prediction separation1.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Spirou Charleroi
D · 68-68L · 85-71W · 85-58L · 60-83W · 63-61
Circus Brussels
D · 68-68L · 74-88W · 79-64L · 63-61L · 58-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.12.27 | Circus Brussels | 63 : 71 | Spirou Charleroi |
| 2023.12.11 | Spirou Charleroi | 47 : 43 | Circus Brussels |
| 2023.12.09 | Circus Brussels | 68 : 68 | Spirou Charleroi |
| 2023.11.18 | Spirou Charleroi | 63 : 61 | Circus Brussels |
| 2023.05.14 | Spirou Charleroi | 85 : 83 | Circus Brussels |
| 2023.05.13 | Circus Brussels | 61 : 84 | Spirou Charleroi |
| 2023.01.08 | Spirou Charleroi | 80 : 66 | Circus Brussels |
| 2022.10.16 | Circus Brussels | 55 : 74 | Spirou Charleroi |
| 2022.01.30 | Spirou Charleroi | 77 : 68 | Circus Brussels |
| 2022.01.27 | Circus Brussels | 71 : 85 | Spirou Charleroi |