Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Belgian Cup
Belgium
Okapi AalstHOME · -
75 : 672023.10.21 · 종료
Circus BrusselsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME63.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+63.1%
VALUE EDGE+63.1%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADEB
Okapi AalstAnalysis MetricsCircus Brussels
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+1.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.25
172.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.08
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.6 / 15
Prediction separation11.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Okapi Aalst
L · 82-95L · 91-84L · 80-87L · 93-89L · 85-63
Circus Brussels
W · 82-95W · 79-75W · 59-85W · 72-80L · 86-94
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.14 | Circus Brussels | 75 : 71 | Okapi Aalst |
| 2024.02.04 | Circus Brussels | 76 : 83 | Okapi Aalst |
| 2023.10.22 | Circus Brussels | 85 : 66 | Okapi Aalst |
| 2023.10.21 | Okapi Aalst | 75 : 67 | Circus Brussels |
| 2023.10.15 | Okapi Aalst | 82 : 95 | Circus Brussels |
| 2023.02.19 | Okapi Aalst | 85 : 80 | Circus Brussels |
| 2022.11.26 | Circus Brussels | 68 : 78 | Okapi Aalst |
| 2022.01.16 | Okapi Aalst | 78 : 62 | Circus Brussels |
| 2021.09.26 | Circus Brussels | 78 : 72 | Okapi Aalst |