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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Bahrain
Al NajmaHOME · -
70 : 742015.12.19 · 종료
Al AhliAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +55.4%
VALUE EDGE+55.4%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
Al NajmaAnalysis MetricsAl Ahli
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+8.33 Point MarginHigher is better -1.83
156.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.00
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
8.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation4.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
55.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
44.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Al Najma
L · 82-57
Al Ahli
Collecting Data

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.21Al Najma67 : 54Al Ahli
2023.12.22Al Najma76 : 67Al Ahli
2023.03.23Al Najma76 : 108Al Ahli
2022.09.11Al Ahli93 : 83Al Najma
2015.12.19Al Najma70 : 74Al Ahli