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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Bahrain · Premier League - Final
Al AhliHOME · -
71 : 852024.05.21 · 종료
Al ManamaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME35.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.3% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +64.9%
VALUE EDGE+64.9%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
Al AhliAnalysis MetricsAl Manama
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-3.92 Point MarginHigher is better -0.75
160.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.75
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation12.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
35.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
64.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Al Ahli
W · 87-90L · 76-89L · 89-78W · 91-101W · 91-77
Al Manama
L · 87-90W · 76-89W · 89-78L · 92-99W · 73-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.30Al Ahli100 : 98Al Manama
2025.03.04Al Manama75 : 69Al Ahli
2025.02.04Al Manama56 : 65Al Ahli
2024.05.21Al Ahli71 : 85Al Manama
2024.05.18Al Manama87 : 90Al Ahli
2024.05.16Al Ahli76 : 89Al Manama
2024.05.14Al Manama89 : 78Al Ahli
2024.03.22Al Manama86 : 73Al Ahli
2023.12.15Al Ahli87 : 94Al Manama
2023.05.26Al Ahli85 : 97Al Manama