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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Bahrain · Premier League - Semi-finals
Al MuharraqHOME · -
91 : 1012024.04.27 · 종료
Al AhliAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME40.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.9% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +59.3%
VALUE EDGE+59.3%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEA
Al MuharraqAnalysis MetricsAl Ahli
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+15.67 Point MarginHigher is better -1.83
178.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.00
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.7 / 15
Prediction separation8.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
40.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
59.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Al Muharraq
L · 93-83L · 91-77W · 95-82L · 88-98L · 86-78
Al Ahli
W · 91-77L · 95-82L · 86-73W · 58-77L · 91-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.27Al Muharraq91 : 101Al Ahli
2024.04.19Al Ahli91 : 77Al Muharraq
2024.04.14Al Muharraq95 : 82Al Ahli
2024.01.31Al Ahli95 : 65Al Muharraq
2024.01.21Al Ahli88 : 92Al Muharraq
2023.11.29Al Muharraq94 : 80Al Ahli
2023.11.24Al Muharraq79 : 93Al Ahli
2023.01.06Al Ahli79 : 84Al Muharraq
2016.01.03Al Ahli93 : 81Al Muharraq