Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Premier League
Bahrain · 8

Al NajmaHOME · -
76 : 672023.12.22 · 종료
Al AhliAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.7%
VALUE EDGE+59.7%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEA
Al NajmaAnalysis MetricsAl Ahli
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+9.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.83
155.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.00
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
4.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.1 / 15
Prediction separation8.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Al Najma
W · 76-57L · 72-64L · 116-101W · 93-72L · 78-93
Al Ahli
L · 87-94L · 92-110W · 124-85W · 73-89L · 94-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.21 | Al Najma | 67 : 54 | Al Ahli |
| 2023.12.22 | Al Najma | 76 : 67 | Al Ahli |
| 2023.03.23 | Al Najma | 76 : 108 | Al Ahli |
| 2022.09.11 | Al Ahli | 93 : 83 | Al Najma |
| 2015.12.19 | Al Najma | 70 : 74 | Al Ahli |