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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Premier League Bahrain · 4
Al MuharraqHOME · -
79 : 932023.11.24 · 종료
Al AhliAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME42.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +57.7%
VALUE EDGE+57.7%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEA
Al MuharraqAnalysis MetricsAl Ahli
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+14.58 Point MarginHigher is better -1.83
182.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.00
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
10.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 9.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.8 / 15
Prediction separation6.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
42.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
57.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Al Muharraq
L · 92-108W · 78-93W · 88-81W · 112-65L · 83-101
Al Ahli
L · 88-98W · 78-85W · 78-63L · 79-88W · 81-100

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.27Al Muharraq91 : 101Al Ahli
2024.04.19Al Ahli91 : 77Al Muharraq
2024.04.14Al Muharraq95 : 82Al Ahli
2024.01.31Al Ahli95 : 65Al Muharraq
2024.01.21Al Ahli88 : 92Al Muharraq
2023.11.29Al Muharraq94 : 80Al Ahli
2023.11.24Al Muharraq79 : 93Al Ahli
2023.01.06Al Ahli79 : 84Al Muharraq
2016.01.03Al Ahli93 : 81Al Muharraq