Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Zweite Liga Austria · Zweite Liga - Semi-finals

St. PoltenHOME · -

88 : 692015.04.05 · 종료

VillachAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME75.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY24.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 77.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +75.8%

VALUE EDGE+75.8%

FAIR ODDS1.32

GRADEA

St. PoltenAnalysis MetricsVillach

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-7.25 Point MarginHigher is better +2.83

154.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 148.83

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement3.4 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

75.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

24.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

St. Polten

W · 83-88W · 87-64W · 90-54L · 83-74W · 85-63

Villach

W · 57-45W · 85-94W · 75-55W · 65-74W · 82-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2016.04.10	Villach	57 : 72	St. Polten
2016.04.03	St. Polten	63 : 50	Villach
2015.10.11	St. Polten	80 : 63	Villach
2015.04.07	Villach	77 : 88	St. Polten
2015.04.05	St. Polten	88 : 69	Villach
2015.02.08	Villach	63 : 64	St. Polten
2014.11.03	St. Polten	100 : 67	Villach