Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Zweite Liga
Austria · 17
MistelbachHOME · -
82 : 872015.02.23 · 종료
VillachAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.9%
VALUE EDGE+68.9%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEB
MistelbachAnalysis MetricsVillach
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-3.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.83
151.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
148.83
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mistelbach
W · 87-62L · 88-74L · 80-83W · 67-69W · 90-78
Villach
W · 85-79L · 93-78L · 63-64L · 78-81L · 85-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.03.21 | Villach | 86 : 84 | Mistelbach |
| 2016.03.06 | Villach | 91 : 68 | Mistelbach |
| 2015.12.09 | Villach | 79 : 71 | Mistelbach |
| 2015.11.22 | Mistelbach | 75 : 76 | Villach |
| 2015.03.22 | Villach | 57 : 45 | Mistelbach |
| 2015.03.15 | Mistelbach | 85 : 94 | Villach |
| 2015.02.23 | Mistelbach | 82 : 87 | Villach |
| 2014.10.27 | Villach | 71 : 91 | Mistelbach |