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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Zweite Liga Austria · 11
St. PoltenHOME · -
81 : 662014.12.08 · 종료
MistelbachAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME70.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 73.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +70.2%
VALUE EDGE+70.2%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADEA
St. PoltenAnalysis MetricsMistelbach
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-7.25 Point MarginHigher is better -3.25
154.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.58
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
8.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
70.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
29.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
St. Polten
W · 59-105W · 78-72W · 81-91W · 89-71W · 100-67
Mistelbach
W · 86-65L · 87-68L · 98-106W · 71-91W · 52-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.02.28Mistelbach71 : 74St. Polten
2015.11.09St. Polten76 : 77Mistelbach
2014.12.15Mistelbach73 : 83St. Polten
2014.12.08St. Polten81 : 66Mistelbach