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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Zweite Liga Austria · Zweite Liga - Final
MattersburgHOME · -
75 : 842016.04.30 · 종료
St. PoltenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +50.3%
VALUE EDGE+50.3%
FAIR ODDS1.99
GRADEA
MattersburgAnalysis MetricsSt. Polten
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+5.42 Point MarginHigher is better -7.25
149.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.08
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.1 / 15
Prediction separation0.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
50.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
49.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mattersburg
L · 90-57W · 73-75W · 92-53W · 106-64L · 94-72
St. Polten
W · 90-57W · 57-72W · 63-50W · 71-90W · 99-47

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.04.30Mattersburg75 : 84St. Polten
2016.04.25St. Polten90 : 57Mattersburg
2016.03.06St. Polten80 : 74Mattersburg
2015.11.23Mattersburg65 : 72St. Polten
2015.01.26Mattersburg52 : 64St. Polten
2014.10.20St. Polten71 : 65Mattersburg