Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Zweite Liga
Austria · Zweite Liga - Semi-finals
St. PoltenHOME · -
63 : 502016.04.03 · 종료
VillachAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+65.1%
VALUE EDGE+65.1%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
St. PoltenAnalysis MetricsVillach
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-7.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.50
154.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.00
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.1 / 15
Prediction separation12.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
St. Polten
W · 71-90W · 99-47W · 62-84W · 80-74W · 71-74
Villach
W · 86-84L · 76-75W · 91-68W · 92-67W · 71-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.10 | Villach | 57 : 72 | St. Polten |
| 2016.04.03 | St. Polten | 63 : 50 | Villach |
| 2015.10.11 | St. Polten | 80 : 63 | Villach |
| 2015.04.07 | Villach | 77 : 88 | St. Polten |
| 2015.04.05 | St. Polten | 88 : 69 | Villach |
| 2015.02.08 | Villach | 63 : 64 | St. Polten |
| 2014.11.03 | St. Polten | 100 : 67 | Villach |