Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Zweite Liga
Austria · Zweite Liga - Quarter-finals
St. PoltenHOME · -
99 : 472016.03.20 · 종료
Basket FlamesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.8%
VALUE EDGE+79.8%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
St. PoltenAnalysis MetricsBasket Flames
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-7.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.17
154.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
148.33
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
St. Polten
W · 62-84W · 80-74W · 71-74W · 64-79W · 83-69
Basket Flames
L · 83-74W · 74-85W · 92-76L · 71-88L · 83-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.03.27 | Basket Flames | 71 : 90 | St. Polten |
| 2016.03.20 | St. Polten | 99 : 47 | Basket Flames |
| 2016.02.07 | St. Polten | 83 : 69 | Basket Flames |
| 2015.10.24 | Basket Flames | 73 : 69 | St. Polten |
| 2015.10.17 | Basket Flames | 67 : 87 | St. Polten |
| 2015.03.09 | St. Polten | 90 : 54 | Basket Flames |
| 2014.11.29 | Basket Flames | 59 : 105 | St. Polten |