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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Zweite Liga Austria
VillachHOME · -
67 : 872015.10.05 · 종료
CelovecAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 68.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +67.9%
VALUE EDGE+67.9%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
VillachAnalysis MetricsCelovec
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+2.83 Point MarginHigher is better +0.50
148.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.00
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
7.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
67.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
32.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Villach
L · 79-62L · 64-99L · 77-88L · 88-69W · 57-45
Celovec
L · 61-76W · 50-95L · 65-74L · 78-102L · 87-62

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.01.17Celovec70 : 60Villach
2015.10.05Villach67 : 87Celovec
2015.02.28Celovec65 : 74Villach
2014.11.23Villach77 : 65Celovec