Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Superliga
Austria · Superliga - Quarter-finals
St. PoltenHOME · -
90 : 782023.05.01 · 종료
WelsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME54.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+54.9%
VALUE EDGE+54.9%
FAIR ODDS1.82
GRADEA
St. PoltenAnalysis MetricsWels
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-7.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.00
154.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.50
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.5 / 15
Prediction separation4.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
St. Polten
L · 67-60W · 80-72L · 71-67L · 92-81L · 82-83
Wels
W · 67-60L · 80-72W · 71-67W · 84-60L · 73-63
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.09 | Wels | 73 : 53 | St. Polten |
| 2024.11.10 | St. Polten | 54 : 92 | Wels |
| 2024.04.14 | Wels | 76 : 87 | St. Polten |
| 2024.03.07 | St. Polten | 65 : 89 | Wels |
| 2024.01.05 | St. Polten | 68 : 81 | Wels |
| 2023.11.12 | Wels | 88 : 76 | St. Polten |
| 2023.05.04 | Wels | 80 : 61 | St. Polten |
| 2023.05.01 | St. Polten | 90 : 78 | Wels |
| 2023.04.29 | Wels | 67 : 60 | St. Polten |
| 2023.04.27 | St. Polten | 80 : 72 | Wels |