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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Superliga Austria · 4
WelsHOME · -
87 : 612022.10.23 · 종료
St. PoltenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME18.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY81.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 84.2% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +81.2%
VALUE EDGE+81.2%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEA
WelsAnalysis MetricsSt. Polten
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-1.83 Point MarginHigher is better -6.75
164.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.25
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
18.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
81.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Wels
W · 92-101L · 87-67W · 80-77L · 50-79L · 79-83
St. Polten
L · 79-80L · 84-64L · 62-70W · 104-77L · 74-92

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.14St. Polten95 : 93Wels
2025.02.09Wels73 : 53St. Polten
2024.11.10St. Polten54 : 92Wels
2024.04.14Wels76 : 87St. Polten
2024.03.07St. Polten65 : 89Wels
2024.01.05St. Polten68 : 81Wels
2023.11.12Wels88 : 76St. Polten
2023.05.04Wels80 : 61St. Polten
2023.05.01St. Polten90 : 78Wels
2023.04.29Wels67 : 60St. Polten