Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Superliga
Austria · Superliga - Quarter-finals
WelsHOME · -
81 : 822024.04.21 · 종료
Graz UBSCAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.9%
VALUE EDGE+68.9%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADES
WelsAnalysis MetricsGraz UBSC
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.00
162.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
168.50
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Wels
L · 76-87W · 76-82W · 81-80L · 68-66W · 80-69
Graz UBSC
L · 93-65L · 76-82L · 84-80W · 103-92L · 77-63
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.25 | Wels | 82 : 77 | Graz UBSC |
| 2025.04.05 | Wels | 80 : 78 | Graz UBSC |
| 2025.03.10 | Graz UBSC | 68 : 77 | Wels |
| 2024.12.27 | Wels | 88 : 67 | Graz UBSC |
| 2024.11.01 | Graz UBSC | 77 : 87 | Wels |
| 2024.04.29 | Graz UBSC | 89 : 73 | Wels |
| 2024.04.26 | Wels | 90 : 68 | Graz UBSC |
| 2024.04.24 | Graz UBSC | 76 : 69 | Wels |
| 2024.04.21 | Wels | 81 : 82 | Graz UBSC |
| 2024.04.08 | Graz UBSC | 76 : 82 | Wels |