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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Superliga Austria · 4
WelsHOME · -
78 : 692024.03.17 · 종료
Graz UBSCAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 68.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +67.4%
VALUE EDGE+67.4%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADES
WelsAnalysis MetricsGraz UBSC
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-2.00 Point MarginHigher is better -9.00
162.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.50
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation14.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
67.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
32.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Wels
W · 73-81W · 65-89L · 71-82W · 97-63W · 93-69
Graz UBSC
W · 91-85W · 79-81L · 77-94W · 61-92L · 64-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.25Wels82 : 77Graz UBSC
2025.04.05Wels80 : 78Graz UBSC
2025.03.10Graz UBSC68 : 77Wels
2024.12.27Wels88 : 67Graz UBSC
2024.11.01Graz UBSC77 : 87Wels
2024.04.29Graz UBSC89 : 73Wels
2024.04.26Wels90 : 68Graz UBSC
2024.04.24Graz UBSC76 : 69Wels
2024.04.21Wels81 : 82Graz UBSC
2024.04.08Graz UBSC76 : 82Wels