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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Superliga Austria · 16
St. PoltenHOME · -
68 : 812024.01.05 · 종료
WelsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME63.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 57.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +63.2%
VALUE EDGE+63.2%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADEA
St. PoltenAnalysis MetricsWels
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-7.25 Point MarginHigher is better -2.00
154.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.50
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.1 / 15
Prediction separation11.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
63.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
36.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
St. Polten
W · 80-88W · 83-63W · 49-77L · 70-76L · 79-74
Wels
W · 106-84L · 71-78L · 72-69W · 110-74W · 54-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.02.09Wels73 : 53St. Polten
2024.11.10St. Polten54 : 92Wels
2024.04.14Wels76 : 87St. Polten
2024.03.07St. Polten65 : 89Wels
2024.01.05St. Polten68 : 81Wels
2023.11.12Wels88 : 76St. Polten
2023.05.04Wels80 : 61St. Polten
2023.05.01St. Polten90 : 78Wels
2023.04.29Wels67 : 60St. Polten
2023.04.27St. Polten80 : 72Wels