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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Superliga Austria · 7
WelsHOME · -
88 : 762023.11.12 · 종료
St. PoltenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +57.6%
VALUE EDGE+57.6%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADES
WelsAnalysis MetricsSt. Polten
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-2.00 Point MarginHigher is better -7.25
162.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.08
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation6.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
57.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
42.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Wels
W · 80-65L · 81-61L · 92-61W · 83-65W · 82-86
St. Polten
W · 82-76W · 66-106L · 83-94W · 79-69W · 79-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.02.09Wels73 : 53St. Polten
2024.11.10St. Polten54 : 92Wels
2024.04.14Wels76 : 87St. Polten
2024.03.07St. Polten65 : 89Wels
2024.01.05St. Polten68 : 81Wels
2023.11.12Wels88 : 76St. Polten
2023.05.04Wels80 : 61St. Polten
2023.05.01St. Polten90 : 78Wels
2023.04.29Wels67 : 60St. Polten
2023.04.27St. Polten80 : 72Wels