Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Superliga
Austria · 4
St. PoltenHOME · -
83 : 942023.10.21 · 종료
Swans GmundenAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.1%
VALUE EDGE+54.1%
FAIR ODDS1.85
GRADEA
St. PoltenAnalysis MetricsSwans Gmunden
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-7.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.50
154.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.17
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation3.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
St. Polten
W · 79-69W · 79-88W · 90-85L · 80-61W · 90-78
Swans Gmunden
W · 106-63L · 56-49W · 79-83W · 75-67L · 79-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.17 | St. Polten | 76 : 77 | Swans Gmunden |
| 2024.12.23 | St. Polten | 77 : 95 | Swans Gmunden |
| 2024.10.07 | Swans Gmunden | 83 : 76 | St. Polten |
| 2024.04.08 | Swans Gmunden | 108 : 71 | St. Polten |
| 2024.03.22 | St. Polten | 76 : 86 | Swans Gmunden |
| 2024.02.05 | Swans Gmunden | 85 : 65 | St. Polten |
| 2023.10.21 | St. Polten | 83 : 94 | Swans Gmunden |
| 2023.04.06 | St. Polten | 82 : 83 | Swans Gmunden |
| 2023.03.20 | Swans Gmunden | 85 : 73 | St. Polten |
| 2023.02.09 | Swans Gmunden | 103 : 72 | St. Polten |