Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Superliga
Austria · 3
St. PoltenHOME · -
79 : 692023.10.14 · 종료
Vienna BasketAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.4%
VALUE EDGE+60.4%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
St. PoltenAnalysis MetricsVienna Basket
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-7.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.67
154.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.67
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
5.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation8.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
St. Polten
W · 79-88W · 90-85L · 80-61W · 90-78L · 67-60
Vienna Basket
W · 83-69L · 79-83L · 75-67W · 79-67L · 87-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.05 | Vienna Basket | 62 : 78 | St. Polten |
| 2025.03.24 | St. Polten | 74 : 58 | Vienna Basket |
| 2025.03.22 | Vienna Basket | 77 : 73 | St. Polten |
| 2024.12.27 | St. Polten | 94 : 78 | Vienna Basket |
| 2024.11.01 | Vienna Basket | 80 : 70 | St. Polten |
| 2023.12.30 | Vienna Basket | 80 : 88 | St. Polten |
| 2023.10.14 | St. Polten | 79 : 69 | Vienna Basket |
| 2023.04.10 | Vienna Basket | 92 : 81 | St. Polten |
| 2023.03.26 | St. Polten | 70 : 100 | Vienna Basket |
| 2022.12.27 | St. Polten | 81 : 92 | Vienna Basket |