Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Austria Cup
Austria
VillachHOME · -
79 : 962016.01.04 · 종료
Swans GmundenAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
85/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.1%
VALUE EDGE+64.1%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADEB
VillachAnalysis MetricsSwans Gmunden
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+2.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.50
148.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.17
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
64/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.8 / 15
Prediction separation12.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Villach
W · 66-81W · 68-58W · 79-71W · 66-78W · 78-74
Swans Gmunden
W · 66-60W · 53-83W · 88-70L · 91-60L · 78-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.01.04 | Villach | 79 : 96 | Swans Gmunden |