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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

ABL Austria · ABL - Quarter-finals
Kapfenberg BullsHOME · -
70 : 922016.05.02 · 종료
WelsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +53.0%
VALUE EDGE+53.0%
FAIR ODDS1.89
GRADES
Kapfenberg BullsAnalysis MetricsWels
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+12.50 Point MarginHigher is better -2.00
176.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.50
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation2.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
53.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
47.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kapfenberg Bulls
L · 77-69L · 84-74W · 83-76W · 80-88W · 79-70
Wels
W · 77-69W · 84-74W · 92-69W · 67-71W · 98-90

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.09.26Kapfenberg Bulls101 : 78Wels
2024.12.22Kapfenberg Bulls71 : 79Wels
2024.10.20Wels70 : 68Kapfenberg Bulls
2024.01.29Kapfenberg Bulls63 : 80Wels
2023.12.04Wels78 : 71Kapfenberg Bulls
2023.01.30Wels73 : 60Kapfenberg Bulls
2022.12.04Kapfenberg Bulls77 : 72Wels
2018.04.21Kapfenberg Bulls87 : 79Wels
2018.03.06Wels61 : 101Kapfenberg Bulls
2018.01.05Kapfenberg Bulls86 : 67Wels