Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL Women
Australia
Launceston WHOME · -
75 : 642016.04.30 · 종료
Frankston WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.3%
VALUE EDGE+58.3%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEA
Launceston WAnalysis MetricsFrankston W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-3.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.17
150.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
147.50
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.3 / 15
Prediction separation7.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Launceston W
L · 83-74W · 58-60W · 59-77W · 72-74W · 60-76
Frankston W
W · 90-105L · 79-89W · 72-85L · 63-78L · 72-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.03 | Launceston W | 65 : 77 | Frankston W |
| 2022.06.18 | Frankston W | 70 : 81 | Launceston W |
| 2021.05.01 | Frankston W | 90 : 84 | Launceston W |
| 2019.05.04 | Frankston W | 114 : 67 | Launceston W |
| 2016.04.30 | Launceston W | 75 : 64 | Frankston W |
| 2015.08.15 | Launceston W | 64 : 72 | Frankston W |
| 2015.05.23 | Frankston W | 58 : 77 | Launceston W |