Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL Women
Australia
Frankston WHOME · -
63 : 782016.04.16 · 종료
Geelong WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.8%
VALUE EDGE+53.8%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADEA
Frankston WAnalysis MetricsGeelong W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+4.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.50
147.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.50
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation3.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Frankston W
L · 72-62W · 96-76W · 64-72W · 61-68L · 52-60
Geelong W
L · 57-62L · 75-55W · 57-53L · 78-68W · 57-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.01 | Frankston W | 69 : 78 | Geelong W |
| 2023.04.29 | Geelong W | 68 : 81 | Frankston W |
| 2022.05.28 | Geelong W | 86 : 56 | Frankston W |
| 2021.05.22 | Geelong W | 75 : 80 | Frankston W |
| 2019.04.12 | Frankston W | 65 : 64 | Geelong W |
| 2017.05.13 | Frankston W | 56 : 88 | Geelong W |
| 2016.08.20 | Geelong W | 72 : 53 | Frankston W |
| 2016.06.25 | Geelong W | 73 : 65 | Frankston W |
| 2016.04.16 | Frankston W | 63 : 78 | Geelong W |
| 2015.05.10 | Geelong W | 85 : 63 | Frankston W |