Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL Women
Australia
Geelong WHOME · -
57 : 622016.04.01 · 종료
Brisbane Spartans WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.4%
VALUE EDGE+61.4%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEA
Geelong WAnalysis MetricsBrisbane Spartans W
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+8.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.42
152.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
135.08
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation9.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong W
L · 75-55W · 57-53L · 78-68W · 57-77L · 66-68
Brisbane Spartans W
L · 55-57L · 72-50L · 72-63W · 72-63W · 67-48
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.01 | Geelong W | 57 : 62 | Brisbane Spartans W |
| 2015.08.08 | Brisbane Spartans W | 72 : 63 | Geelong W |
| 2015.05.24 | Geelong W | 62 : 54 | Brisbane Spartans W |