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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SEABL Women Australia · SEABL Women - Semi-finals
Bendigo WHOME · -
77 : 792015.09.05 · 종료
Kilsyth WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME36.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +63.6%
VALUE EDGE+63.6%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADES
Bendigo WAnalysis MetricsKilsyth W
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-8.33 Point MarginHigher is better -1.08
161.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 139.75
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation11.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
36.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
63.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Bendigo W
W · 60-78W · 72-63W · 52-60W · 81-73W · 63-64
Kilsyth W
W · 75-62L · 60-78W · 90-79W · 66-68L · 87-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.29Bendigo W93 : 42Kilsyth W
2022.08.13Kilsyth W81 : 96Bendigo W
2019.08.02Bendigo W70 : 85Kilsyth W
2019.04.13Kilsyth W64 : 70Bendigo W
2017.05.28Kilsyth W76 : 66Bendigo W
2016.07.24Bendigo W71 : 79Kilsyth W
2015.09.05Bendigo W77 : 79Kilsyth W
2015.08.22Kilsyth W60 : 78Bendigo W
2015.08.01Kilsyth W63 : 64Bendigo W
2015.05.09Bendigo W70 : 102Kilsyth W