Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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SEABL Women Australia · SEABL Women - Semi-finals

Dandenong WHOME · -

75 : 552015.09.05 · 종료

Geelong WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY19.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 83.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +80.7%

VALUE EDGE+80.7%

FAIR ODDS1.24

GRADEB

Dandenong WAnalysis MetricsGeelong W

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%

+7.33 Point MarginHigher is better +8.50

131.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.50

37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.2 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

80.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

19.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Dandenong W

W · 78-68W · 48-110W · 72-50W · 85-55W · 78-62

Geelong W

W · 57-53L · 78-68W · 57-77L · 66-68L · 72-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2017.04.07	Geelong W	68 : 73	Dandenong W
2016.06.18	Geelong W	71 : 86	Dandenong W
2015.09.05	Dandenong W	75 : 55	Geelong W
2015.08.22	Dandenong W	78 : 68	Geelong W
2015.07.25	Geelong W	59 : 96	Dandenong W
2015.05.09	Dandenong W	85 : 75	Geelong W