Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL Women
Australia · SEABL Women - Quarter-finals
Kilsyth WHOME · -
75 : 622015.08.29 · 종료
Launceston WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.5%
VALUE EDGE+53.5%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEA
Kilsyth WAnalysis MetricsLaunceston W
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-1.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.75
139.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
150.58
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation3.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kilsyth W
L · 60-78W · 90-79W · 66-68L · 87-80W · 67-82
Launceston W
W · 53-67L · 64-72W · 87-80W · 60-63L · 53-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.05.07 | Launceston W | 85 : 67 | Kilsyth W |
| 2021.05.23 | Kilsyth W | 60 : 87 | Launceston W |
| 2019.07.06 | Launceston W | 63 : 85 | Kilsyth W |
| 2017.07.08 | Kilsyth W | 66 : 78 | Launceston W |
| 2016.09.03 | Kilsyth W | 57 : 53 | Launceston W |
| 2016.08.20 | Kilsyth W | 81 : 71 | Launceston W |
| 2016.07.09 | Launceston W | 81 : 71 | Kilsyth W |
| 2016.04.23 | Kilsyth W | 83 : 74 | Launceston W |
| 2015.08.29 | Kilsyth W | 75 : 62 | Launceston W |
| 2015.08.08 | Launceston W | 87 : 80 | Kilsyth W |