Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL Women
Australia · SEABL Women - Quarter-finals
Geelong WHOME · -
57 : 532015.08.29 · 종료
Nunawading WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.0%
VALUE EDGE+53.0%
FAIR ODDS1.89
GRADEA
Geelong WAnalysis MetricsNunawading W
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+8.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.83
152.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.17
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation2.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong W
L · 78-68W · 57-77L · 66-68L · 72-63L · 59-96
Nunawading W
W · 55-57W · 54-100L · 66-58L · 60-63W · 119-37
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.20 | Geelong W | 86 : 67 | Nunawading W |
| 2022.08.05 | Geelong W | 49 : 67 | Nunawading W |
| 2021.08.01 | Nunawading W | 78 : 83 | Geelong W |
| 2021.05.08 | Geelong W | 78 : 81 | Nunawading W |
| 2019.03.29 | Geelong W | 63 : 54 | Nunawading W |
| 2017.07.28 | Geelong W | 83 : 64 | Nunawading W |
| 2017.06.03 | Nunawading W | 50 : 60 | Geelong W |
| 2016.05.28 | Nunawading W | 57 : 64 | Geelong W |
| 2015.08.29 | Geelong W | 57 : 53 | Nunawading W |
| 2015.05.17 | Nunawading W | 58 : 72 | Geelong W |