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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SEABL Women Australia
Geelong WHOME · -
59 : 962015.07.25 · 종료
Dandenong WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME41.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 53.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +58.3%
VALUE EDGE+58.3%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEA
Geelong WAnalysis MetricsDandenong W
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+8.50 Point MarginHigher is better +7.33
152.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 131.83
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.9 / 15
Prediction separation7.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
41.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
58.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong W
L · 68-84L · 65-62W · 77-71W · 83-82W · 49-102
Dandenong W
W · 67-90W · 72-54W · 61-110L · 77-69W · 61-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2017.04.07Geelong W68 : 73Dandenong W
2016.06.18Geelong W71 : 86Dandenong W
2015.09.05Dandenong W75 : 55Geelong W
2015.08.22Dandenong W78 : 68Geelong W
2015.07.25Geelong W59 : 96Dandenong W
2015.05.09Dandenong W85 : 75Geelong W