Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL Women
Australia
Nunawading WHOME · -
58 : 722015.05.17 · 종료
Geelong WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.2%
VALUE EDGE+71.2%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
Nunawading WAnalysis MetricsGeelong W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-3.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.50
152.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.50
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
7.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nunawading W
W · 48-73W · 69-46L · 76-59W · 73-83W · 61-52
Geelong W
W · 85-63L · 85-75W · 79-83L · 100-82W · 88-47
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.20 | Geelong W | 86 : 67 | Nunawading W |
| 2022.08.05 | Geelong W | 49 : 67 | Nunawading W |
| 2021.08.01 | Nunawading W | 78 : 83 | Geelong W |
| 2021.05.08 | Geelong W | 78 : 81 | Nunawading W |
| 2019.03.29 | Geelong W | 63 : 54 | Nunawading W |
| 2017.07.28 | Geelong W | 83 : 64 | Nunawading W |
| 2017.06.03 | Nunawading W | 50 : 60 | Geelong W |
| 2016.05.28 | Nunawading W | 57 : 64 | Geelong W |
| 2015.08.29 | Geelong W | 57 : 53 | Nunawading W |
| 2015.05.17 | Nunawading W | 58 : 72 | Geelong W |