Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL Women
Australia

Launceston WHOME · -
89 : 522015.05.16 · 종료
Canberra C. Acad. WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.4%
VALUE EDGE+74.4%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEA
Launceston WAnalysis MetricsCanberra C. Acad. W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-3.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.42
150.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
132.75
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
12.5%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Launceston W
W · 72-66L · 74-80L · 86-78L · 79-61L · 79-83
Canberra C. Acad. W
L · 80-60W · 63-80L · 73-70L · 71-88W · 79-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017.07.22 | Launceston W | 76 : 74 | Canberra C. Acad. W |
| 2017.06.17 | Canberra C. Acad. W | 67 : 66 | Launceston W |
| 2016.05.21 | Launceston W | 74 : 44 | Canberra C. Acad. W |
| 2015.05.16 | Launceston W | 89 : 52 | Canberra C. Acad. W |
| 2015.04.25 | Canberra C. Acad. W | 79 : 61 | Launceston W |