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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SEABL Women Australia
Dandenong WHOME · -
85 : 752015.05.09 · 종료
Geelong WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 77.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +79.1%
VALUE EDGE+79.1%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEB
Dandenong WAnalysis MetricsGeelong W
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
+7.33 Point MarginHigher is better +8.50
131.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.50
37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
79.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
20.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dandenong W
W · 71-88L · 96-83W · 76-59W · 66-70W · 104-74
Geelong W
W · 79-83L · 100-82W · 88-47W · 79-83L · 80-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2017.04.07Geelong W68 : 73Dandenong W
2016.06.18Geelong W71 : 86Dandenong W
2015.09.05Dandenong W75 : 55Geelong W
2015.08.22Dandenong W78 : 68Geelong W
2015.07.25Geelong W59 : 96Dandenong W
2015.05.09Dandenong W85 : 75Geelong W