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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

SEABL Australia
AlburyHOME · -
94 : 972016.05.07 · 종료
GeelongAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 57.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +61.1%
VALUE EDGE+61.1%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEA
AlburyAnalysis MetricsGeelong
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-4.50 Point MarginHigher is better -2.00
176.00 Pace Proxy비교용 지표 178.67
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
7.0일 Rest days비교용 지표 6.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation9.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
61.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
38.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Albury
L · 78-95L · 89-55W · 90-95L · 100-101W · 101-53
Geelong
W · 88-96L · 87-85L · 78-74L · 74-97W · 73-90

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2018.05.26Albury76 : 93Geelong
2016.08.20Geelong82 : 84Albury
2016.05.21Geelong94 : 73Albury
2016.05.07Albury94 : 97Geelong
2015.09.05Albury84 : 78Geelong
2015.08.22Albury88 : 83Geelong
2015.06.13Albury85 : 74Geelong
2015.04.25Geelong96 : 87Albury