Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

SEABL Australia

BallaratHOME · -

80 : 942016.05.01 · 종료

Brisbane SpartansAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY34.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 68.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +65.5%

VALUE EDGE+65.5%

FAIR ODDS1.53

GRADEA

BallaratAnalysis MetricsBrisbane Spartans

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-8.58 Point MarginHigher is better +1.75

203.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.75

20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

7.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.7 / 15

Prediction separation13.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

65.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

34.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ballarat

L · 95-92L · 87-90W · 100-105W · 79-97L · 68-93

Brisbane Spartans

W · 71-114L · 80-93W · 86-92W · 76-77L · 91-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2016.07.16	Brisbane Spartans	112 : 101	Ballarat
2016.05.01	Ballarat	80 : 94	Brisbane Spartans
2015.06.27	Ballarat	106 : 82	Brisbane Spartans
2015.04.18	Brisbane Spartans	86 : 83	Ballarat