Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia
Mt GambierHOME · -
83 : 582016.04.29 · 종료
KilsythAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME80.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 83.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+80.1%
VALUE EDGE+80.1%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEB
Mt GambierAnalysis MetricsKilsyth
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.00
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
180.00
12.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
6.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mt Gambier
W · 80-93W · 74-97L · 84-94W · 95-86W · 81-71
Kilsyth
W · 73-63W · 86-74L · 93-79W · 84-72L · 87-60
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.19 | Mt Gambier | 85 : 90 | Kilsyth |
| 2024.06.15 | Kilsyth | 81 : 90 | Mt Gambier |
| 2023.06.02 | Mt Gambier | 102 : 80 | Kilsyth |
| 2018.05.06 | Kilsyth | 84 : 73 | Mt Gambier |
| 2016.04.29 | Mt Gambier | 83 : 58 | Kilsyth |
| 2015.06.13 | Kilsyth | 75 : 89 | Mt Gambier |
| 2015.05.22 | Mt Gambier | 85 : 61 | Kilsyth |