Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
SEABL
Australia
CanberraHOME · -
78 : 742016.04.24 · 종료
GeelongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.6%
VALUE EDGE+59.6%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEB
CanberraAnalysis MetricsGeelong
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-2.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.00
157.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.67
37.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.5 / 15
Prediction separation8.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Canberra
W · 80-93L · 100-105L · 70-68L · 81-71L · 76-78
Geelong
L · 74-97W · 73-90W · 87-60W · 73-55L · 84-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018.07.20 | Geelong | 89 : 82 | Canberra |
| 2018.04.21 | Canberra | 81 : 107 | Geelong |
| 2016.04.24 | Canberra | 78 : 74 | Geelong |
| 2015.08.15 | Canberra | 76 : 78 | Geelong |
| 2015.05.30 | Geelong | 83 : 80 | Canberra |